Tuesday, 24 September 2013

Demolition Derby - some thoughts



That was possibly the best 50 minutes football I've ever seen Manchester City play. 4-0 was a fair reflection of the game at that point as City simply overwhelmed and overpowered United. A few thoughts:
  • Sometimes Yaya Toure is like a force of nature, just unstoppable and too powerful. Sunday was one of those days. A couple of years ago I heard a good analogy for Toure - he's like the Ents from Lord of the Rings. Slow to get going, can spend much of the time looking sleepy but once roused utterly unstoppable.
  • The captain was imperious. It's strange to think that in a game we dominated by attacking, possibly the best player on the pitch was a defender. Vincent Kompany was just magnificent.
  • What's wrong with Nastasic this season? Is it just me or is he not playing well? Last year it took me a while to realise how good he was. He didn't stand out because everything was done so efficiently with a minimum of fuss. He was rarely out of position, and in the end this is what stood out for me - how he quietly and efficiently did his job. This season he's stood out more and not in a good way. Arguably he should have been sent off for a second yellow on Sunday. Let's hope this is a temporary drop in form and he's soon back to his best.
  • Nasri's best game for City?
  • Kolorov demonstrated a perfect example of how attack is sometimes the best form of defence. By attacking he pushed Valencia back meaning he didn't need to do much defending. Kolorov's defending isn't as good as Clichy's but when he attacks like he did in the Derby, he doesn't have much defending to do.
  • At times there was a simplicity to City's attacking which is hid how difficult it is to achieve. There was a lot of quick pass-and-move. Barcelona have spent the past few years becoming the masters of pass-and-move but at a slow pace, looking to keep the ball at all costs. Last year Dortmund and Bayern did it at pace. Are City heading down the Dortmund/Bayern route tactically? The team is still evolving but in a very interesting direction.
  • I just love the picture of Kompany celebrating the fourth goal above. Sums up the day.

Finally, at the risk of sounding like I'm defending David Moyes, am I the only one who thought his substitution made sense tactically? It was done far too late (should have been at half-time) but it reminded me of how Mancini often used De Jong. I had thought the media had realised from that that bringing on a defensive midfielder is not necessarily a defensive substitution, yet all the reports I've read call it a damage limitation move, trying to stop more goals going in. I don't agree.

To explain this, think about the following. United had no control of the game, no decent possession. So having 4 attacking players on isn't much of a threat. 3 attacking players with the ball are more dangerous than 4 without. By bringing on Cleverley, it first gets an extra body into a central midfield area that Yaya and Fernandinho were dominating. That should get them more possession. It also allowed Fellani to get forward more (as would happen with Yaya when De Jong came on) and they could change the shape of their team to pose a different attacking threat for the defence to deal with.

After the substitution, United did play better and were more of an attacking threat although much of that could have been City relaxing with the game already won. According to much of the media, it was a defensive move though. Unfortunately they still see substitutions as a 1-for-1 change and don't bother to look at other changes that may follow such as how the shape of the team changes. This is something Mancini used to do a lot, a substitution and a change of formation at the same time. Sometimes it worked, such as the time he replaced Aguero with Kolorov at 0-0 away at Wigan and we went on to win 2-0, sometimes it didn't.

Tuesday, 3 September 2013

Transfer Window - how did it go?

Now the transfer window has slammed shut (as sky put it), how did we do? The basic changes to the squad are:
  • Fernandinho replaces Gareth Barry
  • Jesus Navas replaces Scott Sinclair
  • Alvaro Negredo replaces Carlos Tevez
  • Stevan Jovetic replaces Mario Balotelli
  • Martin Demichelis replaces Kolo Toure
  • Maicon was sold but not replaced
In addition, Wayne Bridge, Roque Santa Cruz and a number of youth team players have left on loan or have been released. Of the above, I'd argue Fernandinho and Navas are definite improvements. Negrado and Jovetic are different types of players to Tevez and Balotelli so it remains to be seen if that's an improvement. Demichelis should provide at least as reliable back up cover at centre back as Kolo Toure, and Maicon was probably going to be third choice right back and so we can probably cope without replacing him.

The biggest disappointment for me was the sale of Denis Saurez. Although he hadn't made the first team breakthrough yet he was a very promising talent and Barcelona clearly see something there worth investing in. The owners stated desire to see more academy players making the first team has seen a set-back with this.

Although we have a net spend of around £80 million, there will be a benefit from a reduction in the wage bill. Several high wage earners were moved on and either not replaced (e.g. Bridge and Santa Cruz) or replaced with lower wage earners (e.g. Tevez was probably on more than Negredo and Jovetic combined). This should help with FFP compliance.

Overall I think we've had a successful transfer window. Although there was no major name signed, all the new faces look to be good signings and the squad has a fresher, improved look.

Thursday, 29 August 2013

Champions League draw thoughts

That's much better than last year. And the year before. That was my initial reaction after the draw but its a dangerous one. Bayern Munich are obviously the big name in the group but the trips to Moscow and the Czech Republic won't be easy. The Moscow one especially partly due to the distance, there could well be a domestic hangover from that which will need managing carefully especially as it's Chelsea away afterwards.

But it's a group we should be capable of getting through if we perform to our ability.

Tuesday, 27 August 2013

City v Cardiff - some thougts

A tough loss but given how well Cardiff played, not that unexpected. Before the season started I suspected playing a promoted side so early in the season was dangerous and so it proved. At half time I tweeted:
Sadly I was right. Cardiff is going to be a tough place to visit.

A few observations on how City played:
  • Garcia isn't good enough at centre back. Sadly with Kompany injured, and Nastasic not fully fit we were down to only one fit centre back. Garcia did play there in pre-season but he lacks pace and doesn't have the experience or instincts needed to compensate for this.
  • We've switched from Zonal to Man marking at corners. Is it possible that the two goals conceded from corners are due to the players still getting used to this? On Sky on Monday night, Jamie Carragher made the excellent point that had those goals been conceded when we were using zonal marking, the system would have been blamed. As it was man-marking, Hart and Zabaleta were blamed. Cardiff's delivery at the corners was superb though, so it's possible neither system would have worked.
  • At times the game was a return to many games over the last couple of years. Cardiff retreated into the final third and got 10 men behind the ball. The quick passing and movement we showed against Newcastle were less effective here and its in games like this were we will need to show a lot more patience.
  • We showed signs of a weakness from last season - being too narrow. Navas should be an important option in games like this but he drifted inside too much.
  • Cardiff did take every opportunity to attack though. This is not something most teams do when they sit back and defend against us.

Monday, 26 August 2013

This Season's Chant?

Every season there seems to emerge a new chant or celebration. 3 seasons ago it was the Poznan, 2 seasons ago the Balotelli song, and last season the Yaya/Kolo song. Is this this seasons?


Tuesday, 20 August 2013

City 4 Newcastle 0 - a few thoughts

Well that was a good start wasn't it? Yes it's just one game, but City looked impressive last night and there are already noticeable differences in the style of play. Here are a few observations on last night’s game:
  • City moved the ball much quicker. There was a 'directness' about the ball movement. Not directness in the style of the long-ball game. More a sense of move the ball quickly forward through quick sharp and short passing. The long, slow patient build-up play that characterised City under Mancini looks to have been replaced by something much more aggressive.
  • Off the ball there was more aggression when it came to pressing. There was almost a Barcelona style of aggression to it at times.
  • Early in the game I felt this meant we weren't controlling possession as much as we used to. This is reflected in stats showing we only had 55% possession, despite Newcastle going into damage limitation mode and sitting back for the second half. This is probably a result of the more aggressive, quicker passing.
  • If we will allow the opposition more possession this season, then the defence is going to come under more pressure. There was little to learn from this game about how the defence will be organised under Pellegrini as Newcastle offered little attacking threat. In fact, at half time I realised I wasn't even sure if we were still using zonal marking at corners or not. Even now I'm not sure.
  • Sky's commentators tried to pin down City as playing a 4-4-2 formation. This was a very simplistic view of the formation. The fluidity of the front 6 was such that the shape of the team was constantly changing. There's an excellent analysis of a key feature that makes this fluidity work by Michael Cox at the Guardian.
We will have much bigger tests, but this is a promising start. One word I've used frequently above is aggressive. There was a general aggression about City's attacking play, both with and without the ball. For me this is a welcome development although it remains to be seen what the implications are defensively from this.

Friday, 16 August 2013

A few thoughts and predictions on the new season

The new season starts this weekend. This is always the time for maximum optimism, though as a City fan I still fear the worst. So maybe it's time to take a step back and look at what would be realistically a good season.

Before last season I felt we'd have had a successful season if we:
  • finished 2nd or better in the Premier League
  • won a trophy
  • got past the group stage of the Champions League
Of those 3, 1 was achieved (2nd in the league), 1 was close (losing the FA Cup Final) and not getting past the group stage of the Champions League could be excused as the draw put us in the group of death. On that basis, an argument could be made that last season was okay. And yet it all felt so disappointing. The team seemed to go backward.

So to this season, and the most important thing for me is a feeling that the team is moving forwards. If we achieve that and finish in the top 3 of the League than that would be a satisfactory season. For a successful season, if the team feels like it's moved forward and we achieve at least 2 of the above criteria from last season then I will be happy.

Finally to put my neck on the line a few predictions:

In the Premier League, the top 2 will be City and Chelsea (though I'm not sure of the order), United will be 3rd, and Spurs 4th. Hull, Palace and Sunderland will be relegated. In the Champions League, City will get to the Quarter Finals, but will be out early in both cups. One of the cups will be won by Chelsea.